Really liked Timmy's explanation above and I'll add more to it because I got this one wrong. I don't know what I was thinking! I picked (D) so I'll go through my thought processes and see what happened here. Hopefully it will help someone in the future!
The most tempting answer choices for me were (C) - (E). Whenever I am down to
three answer choices I know that I did something wrong
. (A) and (B) can be eliminated quite easily for relevance. We don't care about what the chart was intended to do because the point is that the argument ascribes what the chart
does. The author says the chart (and the observations of people who fall within its ranges)
does show you how to improve your life expectancy. Similiarly, we don't care if some people are unwilling to change their weight. "Unwillingness" doesn't imply that they won't and this ultimately does nothing to show why or why not the conclusion doesn't work from the premises. So what if they are unwilling? The author is just saying that doing X will lead to effect Y.
Now onto the rest...
(C) is a tricky one because it makes us think, "okay well what if people died due to other uncontrollable reasons and thus following this chart may not lead to overall higher life expectancies. What if everyone who was in the "overweight" category just happened to die by getting hit by a bus when really they would have lived longer?" These are good thoughts to have! The problem is that this is actually the
opposite of what we want. We want the table to include
only people that died of natural causes. Why? Because the chart is supposed to say something about life expectancy - aka
natural death. (C) is definitely a tricky one in the heat of the moment but ultimately it can be eliminated confidently with this in mind.
(D) was what I
thought was the correct answer. My thought process was flawed though. I was thinking,
"well maybe the people on this chart naturally have a longer life expectancy so we shouldn't really base what people should do on that!" This is wrong thinking though because we don't need to
compare the people
with and people
without policies. We are only talking about
comparing the people that
fall outside the weight bracket and
people that fall inside the weight bracket.
(E) is the correct answer. If we negate (E) we get a perfect conclusion breaker: "People's efforts
would damage their health enough to decrease their overall life expectancy." There is no way that they can
improve their life expectancies while simultaneously
decreasing their life expectancies
.