by ohthatpatrick Mon Aug 12, 2019 1:52 pm
The basic idea with rejecting (D) is that it doesn't seem like the passage gives us enough info to derive that a certain species went extinct, and saying that "the species died out" is saying it went extinct.
Part of this is assisted by outside knowledge of what ice ages are:
the polar ice caps grow during an ice age, covering much of North America with land ice. As an ice age ends, the glaciers "retreat" back towards the poles, slowly re-exposing the land beneath them.
So for example, glaciers might extend all the way from the North Pole down to New York. As the ice age ends, the southernmost ice will melt first:
so first New York thaws, then New England, then southern Canada, etc.
The scientists here were testing samples of sediments. We're not sure where they were testing, but they would presumably test in areas where there IS ice during an ice age but where there ISN'T ice during a non-ice age.
They wouldn't test somewhere where there's always ice, because that wouldn't give them any way of measuring when an area went from being ice-covered to exposed-land again.
So the idea of "warm beetles REPLACING cold beetles" just means "in that area where we tested".
We could make the same bad, too-strong inference that (D) makes if we said
(D) Toward the end of the last ice age, the areas that were covered by ice masses were eventually all covered by spruce forests
We know that in SOME area, the ice left and a spruce forest emerged, but we don't have enough info to think that there are spruce forests EVERYWHERE that there used to be ice.
Similarly, we know that in SOME area, warm-beetles replaced cold-beetles, but we don't have enough info to think that cold-beetles died out EVERYWHERE.
Since they're "cold-adapted ARCTIC beetles", they presumably could still live in the Arctic. They just can't venture down to the newly exposed New York anymore.