LolaC289 Wrote:I didn't expect the discussion on this question to be so short...I was most confused by this question in the whole section. Although I later found out I skipped over a very important phrase in the stimulus, I still think (B) is a terrible answer.
The thing that I skipped over is "Alarmingly, high-rise buildings are especially vulnerable......according to computer models." So when I was reviewing it, I kind of understand why (B) made some sense, because it points out that computer models may not be completely accurate in predicting things. Maybe as scientists use computer models to simulate the displacement pulse and high-rise buildings and investigate the effects the former have on the latter, some part of the models doesn't reflect the reality accurately. Maybe in real life, the buildings are much more solid than what appears in the models and thus the actual effect of the displacement pulse is exaggerated by the computer models.
However, I really don't like the way (B) delivered it. Isn't it exactly the reason why "scientific predictions based on computer models often fail when test in the field" that we are looking for? For me, (B) only points out the paradox without contributing anything to solve it. How can it be the correct answer? (Although, the rest choices are just as terrible as hell).
Please help with this one!
For this particular question,
Expected: High-rising buildings within cities damaged by powerful earthquakes exposed to high damage to these structures (as predicted by computer models)
Unexpected: High-rises within cities indicates little damage
The correct answer would be able to explain why there's a difference between the expected and unexpected. B does the best job. Saying "scientific predictions based on computer models often fail when tested in the field", it means that the expected (in test) an go wrong in the field, and that is exactly where we at.
Honestly I am trapped by A. I thought traveling long distances by displacement pulses would make high-rises WITHIN CITIES not damaged (because it travels far more, probably to neighboring country but not somewhere closer lol). However, if so, it still does not explain why there's a discrepancy between the prediction and the reality (it would require us additionally assuming that the computer models too do not take that into account).