by ohthatpatrick Fri Oct 30, 2015 12:43 pm
You're correct --- the right answer doesn't need to contradict.
I know what you mean, as I would generally equate "implies / suggests / infer / most likely to agree" as question stems. And an Inference-EXCEPT question stem is definitely saying, "four of these have support / one does not have support".
However, if we read the question stem literally, it is asking for the choice that the author "would NOT be likely to agree with".
So it's not too far from the gist of contradicting.
Whenever I'm doing a "most likely to agree" question, I primarily use extreme language as my guide.
(A) has not been definitively identified = SUPER weak
(because saying it HAS been DEFINITIVELY identified = super strong)
(B) same as (A). Very weak wording, since "DEFINITELY discredited" is a very strong idea. Any time you rule out strong, you're dealing with weak (and vice versa).
(E) X can occur, even if Y isn't true. This is also super weak, since you only need ONE example to prove it's possible.
(C) "it's surprising"
(D) "there is good reason to believe"
These are stronger than the other three.
(A) There really is no explicit support that I see for this. But it seems reasonable to assume that if scientists had definitively identified the REAL cause for the thick walls of the pits, that discovery would have been worth mentioning in the last paragraph.
The function of the last paragraph is to summarize the push-back from other scientists against Temple's hypothesis. A huge part of Temple's hypothesis is that the pits of the CM trees evolved in coordination with the dodo species. If you wanted to shoot down Temple's hypothesis, one of the most direct ways you could do so would be to say, "No, dum-dum. THIS is the reason the CM trees evolved thick walled pits."
The fact that we DON'T see that concrete objection implies that scientists don't have an alternative, definitive explanation for why the pits have thick walls.
(B) "strongly challenged" in 46 is pretty damaging, but not the same as "refuted". Line 57 says the proportion of unabraded CM seeds that germinate is probably sufficient to keep the species alive. Line 59 says that the CM extinction could be due to other factors. There's nothing definitive here. That's why the author would likely agree with (B).
(C) This seems to actively go AGAINST what we're reading in the passage. The current rate of germination is in line 56, "only a minority" of unabraded seeds germinate ... making it PROBABLY possible for the species to avoid extinction.
From THAT, would our author say, "Wow, given that ONLY A MINORITY germinate, I would think that the tree would be ABUNDANT!"
So (A) and (B) do not come off a specific line reference, but they fit the gist / tone / strength of claims made in the last paragraph.
Meanwhile, (C) seems to go AGAINST the gist / tone / strength of claims made in the last paragraph.
Certainly, I see while you feel like (A) and (B) seem more speculative, but it is likely the author would agree to those claims, because otherwise we're saying, "No I think the author would likely say that they HAVE definitively identified the cause of the thick pit walls and they HAVE definitively discredited Temple's hypothesis."