by ohthatpatrick Fri Dec 31, 1999 8:00 pm
Question Type:
Strengthen
Stimulus Breakdown:
Conclusion: If we gave cows better diets, we could better control the cow-related methane problem.
Evidence: The cow population grows to keep pace with demand for meat and milk, and cows produce tons of methane. Most cows are given low quality diets, but better quality diets result in less methane per cow.
Answer Anticipation:
What possible objections could we make to this Plan/Prediction? It sounds like when you give a cow a better diet, it produces less methane. So it sounds reasonable to conclude that if we gave more cows better quality diets, we would get less methane from them. But the conclusion can't possibly be airtight on a Strengthen question, so there must be some other aspect of this plan that would affect whether or not we'd really end up with less methane. Our prephrase might just have to be, "keep convincing me that cows on better quality diets lead to less methane from cows".
Correct Answer:
A
Answer Choice Analysis:
(A) This works! Not only does a better diet mean less methane per cow. According to this, better diets mean that there are FEWER COWS needed overall to keep pace with the demand for meat and milk. So we win twice: fewer cows needed and less methane per cow. (One can see how this answer, if turned into its opposite, would weaken: if better diets led to less milk and less meat, then our methane solution would be compromised. We'd be getting less methane per cow, but we would need more cows than before in order to get the same levels of milk/meat)
(B) This is irrelevant. Not only does listing methane's atomtic components mean nothing to this argument, this answer choice speaks about something true of ALL types of cow feed. So there's no way this will move the needle in terms of us scoring a win by switching from low-quality to better-quality cow feed.
(C) "Willingness" is out of scope. The conclusion's truth value only hinges on whether a certain action would yield a certain effect. The truth of that is unaffected by anyone's willingness to take that certain action.
(D) Meat vs. Milk is an irrelevant distinction. Our methane problem comes from cows used for meat, milk, or both. We don't need to carve up that pie, since the conclusion is speaking about giving better diets to all cows.
(E) This helps to convince us that methane is important to global warming, but who cares? The truth value of the conclusion hinges only on whether there would be more or less methane. It is unaffected by whether there would be more or less global warming.
Takeaway/Pattern: It's tough to anticipate this answer or even to prephrase the general function of the answer, other than to reiterate that we want something that helps us argue that "cows on better diets" leads to "less methane overall from cows". (A) does that for us, although we have to have processed the first sentence. It sounds like background, but it provides an important layer in terms of what (A) is really telling us, "better diets = fewer cows needed".
#officialexplanation