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Q24 - Many major scientific discoveries

by noah Thu May 13, 2010 6:45 pm

The conclusion of this argument is that chance (serendipity) can no longer play a role in scientific discovery. Those are strong words! What's the reasoning? It's because investigators today must give clear projections of the outcome of their research in their proposal to get funded, and then they'll ignore everything that doesn't bear on the goal of their proposal. So, it must be that they'll never have chance findings, since chance findings are ones you did not purposely seek.

There's a subtle disconnect here - just because something is a product of chance, does it mean it will not bear on the investigator's goal? Let's say there is a freak accident in the lab. If the results of that have nothing to do with the stated goal of the research, then according to the rules of modern, funding-centric science, they'll be ignored. But what if EUREKA something relevant appears. Would the researchers ignore it because it was because of chance? No, they'd only ignore it if it did not bear on the research.

(A) states the assumption, and, in short, tells us that if something is a chance discovery, it's irrelevant (this is the contrapositive of what's given, relevant --> purposefully seeks). This completes the argument: Not on purpose --> irrelevant --> not focus on it (and thus not learn from it).

(B) is incorrect because it is irrelevant whether past investigators made predictions. Even if they had, they were not bound to only focus on their goals, which is the core of the argument.
(C) is out of scope -- preferences?
(D) focuses on who receives grants, which is off topic
(E) is out of scope -- most valuable? The argument states "many", not "most valuable."

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Re: Q24 - Many major scientific discoveries

by rsmorale Thu Jul 21, 2011 12:55 pm

Thanks, Noah. Did you diagram this? I found this question to be merciless! (Chose D)
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Re: Q24 - Many major scientific discoveries of the past

by noah Thu Jul 21, 2011 1:24 pm

It's been a while since I wrote that explanation, but it looks like I did that first time. But, looking back and re-doing it, without looking at the answer :), I didn't. I ended up getting a basic sense of core:

investigators ignore things not related to funded research --> chance no longer a part of sci. discovery

Gap seems to be about linking ignoring things and chance.

(A) seems strange, but complex. Defer.
Only findings that an investigator purposely
seeks can directly bear on that investigator’s
research.

(B) is about the past. We care about now! Eliminate.

(C) is about preference. Scope! Eliminate.

(D) is also out of scope - it's about who gets funding.

(E) is about value - eliminate!

I would probably pull the trigger - as I don't usually have lots of extra time at this point in the test. But, to confirm (A): relevance requires seeking, not seeking requires irrelevance (hard part is to remember that chance means not purposely sought).

I think I'm better at this test than I was back in May 2010 - I'm a bit "lazier" now, not trying to diagram anything that has a conditional statement and instead trusting that a basic sense of most argument's core will see me through.
 
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Re: Q24 - Many major scientific discoveries

by oatsjamie Mon Oct 17, 2016 11:31 pm

Hi,
Please help clarify the stimulus :(

"Because such grants require investigators to provide sponsors with clear projections of the outcome of the research, investigators ignore anything that does not directly bear on the funded research. Therefore, under the prevailing circumstances, serendipity can no longer play a role in scientific discovery. "

1. Regarding the stimulus, if you were to apply conditional logic, wouldn't it look as follows?

clear projection ---> anything (All) that does not directly bear ---> ignore ---> no serendipity

serendipity ---> not ignore (seek) ---> anything that does directly bear ---> not clear projection

I thought the word "Anything" was nearly the same as "All" or "Any" which usually indicates a sufficient condition.

Based on this, I concluded that answer choice (A) is wrong.


2. Also, regarding (B),
if clear projection ---> no serendipity
then shouldn't serendipity require no clear projection?
So since many scientific discoveries of the past were results of serendipity, wouldn't that mean very little (few) clear predictions were made in the past?

3. Regarding (D), if (D) wasn't true and not all scientific investigators received a grant, then wouldn't that mean serendipity can play a role in scientific discovery? Since they would not have to make clear projections and disregard info not directly related to their research.


I hope someone can help. Thanks.