This, to me, is a really tricky argument with a vague problem. Let's analyze this
strengthen question.
Leona:Average consumption of eggs cut in half
→
Perhaps 5,000 lives saved
Thomas:A single change in diet would result in a population increase of 50,000 in 10 years
→
Leona's conclusion is doubtful
To put this delicately, this gap is
really tough to see and I initially didn't see it. This is because it plays with the typical use of the word "save" when referring to "saving lives." When we refer to "saving lives" we traditionally think that those people whose lives were saved did not die. Yet what we really mean is that the people whose lives were saved did not die...
from that particular cause. If I am drowning in a pool and you "save my life," you are really just protecting me from drowning. I could choke on a chicken bone later that day and die in some other way. Thus, the gap is that Leona is talking about
"saving lives" and Thomas is talking about
"population increases." These two concepts are different.
Our Task: We want to both (1) address Thomas' point, by saying something about how lives saved does not mean increase in population, and (2) clarify Leona's point. These two tasks are seemingly one in the same, both referring to the gap mentioned earlier.
(A) We don't know if the "base year" talked about is unusually low or not. We simply cannot establish the sufficient condition, which makes me doubt the correctness of this answer. I posted a question about it
here but as of right now I am just going to assume that, because the sufficient condition isn't satisfied, the answer is void.
(B) This one looks pretty confusing but it seems to relate to the flaw in the argument. Let's break down what this is really saying...
It is accurate to say that 5,000 lives have been saved as long as the people who should have died due to poor diet, didn't die. It doesn't matter that they actually did due to other reasons.
This is incredibly hard to sift through in the heat of the moment. I would just say that this looks good and to skip it and move to (C), hopefully finding the right answer by elimination and then confirmation rather than the other way around.
(C) This seems to just boost the premise. We aren't concerned about whether or not the egg consumption was reduced by
more than half - we are strictly talking about reducing it by half. By taking our premise and just making it more extreme, we don't really do that much to the argument.
(D) This doesn't relate to the egg consumption conundrum! All this answer choice says is that population growth is determined by more than birth rate - it is also determined by changes in life expectancy. So what?! How does this relate to eating eggs?
(E) This says
how egg consumption can be cut in half. However, this doesn't matter. We don't care
how. We care about the effects of egg consumption!
So we can see more clearly that (B) is the best (only correct) answer. Does it fulfill both tasks? It does. It shows how people can
die and still be
saved while thus also showing that the population doesn't have to increase. (B) isn't what I hoped for, but it works!