What does the Question Stem tell us?
Strengthen
Break down the Stimulus:
Conclusion: ad for product X was effective at making some people buy product X
Evidence: people who checked out before ad aired were less likely to buy product X than were people who checked out after the ad aired.
Any prephrase?
Rule out an alternate reason why people after the ad were more likely to buy X, or make it more plausible that the ad influenced their decision to buy X
Answer choice analysis:
A) This is an irrelevant division of percentages.
B) This rules out an alternate cause (already intended to buy X).
C) This doesn't help us analyze whether the ad was a causal factor. It also doesn't distinguish between the consumers who heard the ad and those who didn't.
D) This weakens the argument. It sounds like the ad was probably not a (conscious) causal factor.
E) This doesn't help us analyze whether the ad was a causal factor. It also doesn't distinguish between the consumers who heard the ad and those who didn't.
The correct answer is B.
Takeaway/Pattern: Causality/Explanation. The evidence was a correlation: "Ppl who heard the ad were more likely to buy product X than were people who didn't hear the ad". The conclusion assigns causality to that relationship. "The ad was effective (at influencing the purchasing of product X". The answers are concerned with Alternative Explanations for the evidence or the Plausibility of the Author's Interpretation (choice D works against the plausibility that the author's interpretation is correct)
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