Question Type:
Strengthen
Stimulus Breakdown:
Premise:
penalty for polluting is severe
Conclusion:
if stronger evidence is not discovered or the polluter does not admit responsibility, we can't be certain enough of the polluter's identity to justify imposing the penalty
Answer Anticipation:
The central idea in the conclusion is that we have to justify the penalty. Specifically, we must be sure that we're penalizing the person who actually caused the pollution. This all seems pretty sensible. However, we aren't just looking at the conclusion itself. What we have to justify, in this case, is that the severity of the penalty gives us a reason to draw this conclusion. A correct answer might state, "if a penalty is severe, imposing it is only justified if we are certain that we are penalizing the correct party."
Correct Answer:
(A)
Answer Choice Analysis:
(A) This is the correct answer. It tells us that the more severe the penalty is, the more certain we must be. This doesn't completely guarantee the conclusion, but it does strengthen the argument, which is all we need.
(B) This is out of scope. We aren't debating how severe the penalty should be. The argument accepts that the penalty is severe, and makes a conclusion about the effect of that severity.
(C) This is out of scope for the same reason as (B). We aren't debating how severe the penalty should be.
(D) This is also out of scope. We aren't debating how likely it is that someone will come forward and admit to polluting the river. The conclusion is about whether or not we are justified in penalizing someone if no one comes forward and confesses.
(E) This is out of scope for the same reason as (B) and (C). We aren't debating how severe the penalty should be.
Takeaway/Pattern: Justifying the reasoning in an argument means strengthening the link between the premise and conclusion. These questions aren't asking you to decide if the conclusion is reasonable on it's own; you need to consider the premise, and whether or not it fully supports the conclusion.
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