Q1 - Pundit: Grenier will almost certainly

by **mshinners** Fri Dec 31, 1999 8:00 pm

Question Type:
Principle Support (Principle Strengthen/Sufficient)

Stimulus Breakdown:
Voters will see G as insincere, therefore they won't vote for her.

Answer Anticipation:
If voters see a candidate as insincere, they won't vote for that candidate.

Correct Answer:
(A)

Answer Choice Analysis:
(A) Bingo. The "unlikely" would make me check the stimulus, but it matches the "almost certainly" of the conclusion. I'd pick this, and then chastise myself for not focusing on "almost certainly" in the conclusion, which is always important!

(B) Out of scope. The stimulus tells us that the voters will see her as insincere, so we know they paid attention here.

(C) Out of scope. The argument doesn't talk about whether her current (or former) position is popular. The argument relies on her flip-flopping to damage her chances at getting elected.

(D) Out of scope. The argument is about a politician changing their minds/being insincere, not about financial concerns.

(E) Out of scope. The stimulus doesn't talk about the beliefs held by the voters.

Takeaway/Pattern:
Don't overcomplicate an early Principle Strengthen question - find the answer that connects the premise to the conclusion.

#officialexplanation