We have discovered an error on p. 474 of the 4th Edition Practice Book I: 10 Real LSATs Grouped by Type.
The answer and explanation given for PrepTest 45, Section 1, Question 11 are incorrect. We have rewritten the explanation below! Please use this explanation instead of the one printed in the book.
Q11.
(C)Match the FlawOur first line of attack in
Match the Flaw questions is to identify the flaw in the stimulus!
PREMISE: average cost of [groceries] will rise
CONCLUSION: cost of [subgroup: butter & eggs] will rise
This argument commits a version of a Part/Whole flaw. From the evidence that an entire group will, on
average, behave a certain way, the author concludes that one subset of that group will behave that way. There is no guarantee that every subset of the larger group will behave the same way: perhaps the price of butter and eggs will decrease, but other the price of other groceries will increase enough that the
average price still rises.
Answer choice
(C) commits this same error.
PREMISE: average TV time for [people under 20] has increased
CONCLUSION: TV time for [subgroup: 4th graders] has increased
The author uses information about the average increase for a whole group to support a claim that a subset of that group has behaved the same way. Perhaps 4th graders have all been grounded from TV, but the high-school kids are watching so much TV that the average for the whole group is still increasing!
Note that the stimulus makes a prediction about the future, while the correct parallel answer makes a claim about the past. That's okay, because each argument stays consistent between the premise and the conclusion (the original stimulus uses a premise about the future to support a conclusion about the future, while the correct answer uses a premise about the past to support a conclusion about the past).
Not quite parallel!(A) This argument is flawed, but not in the same way as the stimulus. The author relies on a premise about the
past to make a prediction about the
future. It's also not clear that the "price of gasoline" is an average price - if that's the ONLY price of gasoline, without variation, then all gasoline
would behave the same way. Additionally, while one might think of "my gasoline" as a subset of "all the gasoline", it's not as clear a part/whole distinction as that of groceries/butter&eggs or under-20s/4th-graders.
(B) This argument is flawed, but not in the same way as the stimulus. The premise gives us two options, then decrees one option "unlikely". From that, the author concludes the other option "will" occur. This switch from a mere probability to a certainty is a flaw, but we're looking for a part/whole and average issue.
(D) This argument might appear to deal in part/whole issues, but it doesn't! While sugar is a "part" of ice cream, the premises lay out a specific conditional relationship between them: When the sugar price increases, the ice cream price increases. A second premise trips that conditional: the sugar price
is expected to increase
next month. Following the conditional, we conclude: the ice cream price
can be expected to increase
next month. This argument structure is about the use of a conditional, not part/whole or average issues. And it's a valid argument!
(E) Similar to
(D), this argument is a valid argument based on a conditional premise. The second premise trips the conditional: the 20-30 group will decline. Following the conditional, we can conclude that the real estate prices will decline over the same time period.